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According to a CRSS Analysis, Closing the Afghan Border Reduces Terrorist Assaults in Pakistan

  • January 2, 2026
  • 2 min read
According to a CRSS Analysis, Closing the Afghan Border Reduces Terrorist Assaults in Pakistan

According to a research by the Centre for Research and Security Studies (CRSS), Pakistan has seen a notable decrease in cross-border terrorist attacks and violence-related deaths since closing the border with Afghanistan on October 11.

After declining by 9% in November, terrorist assaults decreased by nearly 17% in December. According to data gathered by the CRSS for its annual security report 2025, terrorist violence-related deaths among civilians and security personnel also decreased in the final quarter of 2025, by around 4% and 19%, respectively, in November and December. According to the research, 2025 was Pakistan’s most violent year in ten years due to an almost 34% increase in overall violence.

Since the Taliban’s return to power in Afghanistan in 2021, the nation has experienced a five-year spike in violence, with almost 38% in 2021, over 15% in 2022, 56% in 2023, nearly 67% in 2024, and 34% in 2025.

Comparative data from 2024 and 2025 shows a dramatic increase in violence related to terrorism and counterterrorism across the country. The number of fatalities increased from 2,555 in 2024 to 3,417 in 2025, a rise of 862 deaths or around 34% year over year.

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