TRENDS A recent research by Research & Advisory highlights the dangers associated with the escalating military tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran. The paper warns that this increase may cause major disruptions in the world’s energy markets, potentially leading to price spikes, interruptions to international trade, and heightened volatility in financial markets.
The strategic significance of the Arabian Gulf region within the global energy framework is highlighted in a report titled “The Iran War and the Prospect of a Global Energy Shock,” which was published by the Trends Virtual Office in Italy. It emphasizes how quickly the global economy would be affected by any military conflict in this region.
According to the report, oil and gas prices have already sharply increased due to the continued escalation, with Brent crude approaching $100 per barrel—a considerable increase from the pre-conflict forecasts of $60–$65 per barrel under normal supply and demand conditions. It also highlighted how military actions have almost completely halted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a vital route that transports about 20% of the world’s oil and LNG trade.
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